If You Build It ... Value Creation Model Shows Buyers Your Company's Worth |
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By John M. Collard Determining value is more art form than science. True value can only be
established at the time of a transaction, where willing buyer tenders payment
and willing seller accepts it in exchange. Valuing a company is the easy part; creating that value in the first place so you
can measure it is a more formidable task. A Value Creation Equation can build
worth into your company. Buyers and sellers look at the component make-up of a company differently, and
therefore, place different values on these ingredients and on the whole. To
enhance the real company value, analyze company components as they relate to
worth in the mind of potential buyers. Value to one buyer often does not
necessarily hold the same value for another. Establish multiple buyer profiles
depending upon the circumstances and prepare to build value each would be
willing to pay for. There are essentially two kinds of buyers ? strategic and annuity buyers ? both
with different motives. Yet, both demand returns for their shareholders. Strategic buyers purchases for reasons that fit into their strategic plan. They
benefit through synergies like acquiring customer base in expanded territories,
new products, added capacity, and reduced costs, etc. This type of buyer may
place some value in the first line management team, but will see added value in
the ability to place their own managers into key positions. Annuity or financial buyers, on the other hand, see value in the stand-alone
entity's ability to generate cash flow from profits year after year. The
institutional buyer places the highest value on how motivated and incentivized
the existing management team is, and their receptiveness to remain to generate
cash and profits. The owner/operator conversely will look at "buying a job." Typically, strategic buyers of closely held companies purchase at six to ten times
earnings and/or cash flow, while annuity buyers pay two to six times cash flow.
The ultimate worth of the company depends upon who the buyer will be. These
multiples are usually considerably higher in public companies, but the concepts
of building value are the same. It's essential to look at what is valuable and understand how to exploit and
preserve this value. From the start, plan to sell the business and put value
creation into perspective. Free cash flow and the continued ability to produce it with reliable probability
creates the greatest value, which is not as easy as it sounds. In fact, it can be
complicated, is often misunderstood, and frequently is bungled. Look at the
elements in the Value Creation Equation (below) to see how each brings forth
value and how together they compound the effect. Value Creation = Net Asset Value + Future
Revenue Stream + Going Concern Value + Incentive to Purchase Sometimes referred to as orderly liquidation value, net asset value (NAV)
is the cash net worth of assets less encumbrances if you were to liquidate
these assets at a fair market price under orderly disposition conditions
when liquidation is not necessary. This NAV can equal net worth on the
balance sheet, but is often adjusted for the value of intangibles. Simply stated: Tangible Unencumbered
Book Value + Intangible Assets + Adjustments to Market
Value (over-amortized/depreciated/expensed assets, or usable inventory written
down lower than market value) - Obsolete Inventory &
Bad Debts - Outstanding Obligations
on open contracts = Market Value. It is important to build a strong, healthy balance sheet with adequate reserves
and proper statement of asset value, because this is a fundamental on which to
expand a company and increase its worth. Tangible assets can be appraised to establish their worth. On the other hand,
intangible assets are harder to value because they are subject to interpretation. If
you sell a machine you realize cash for the transaction; but if you lose a
customer, no one pays you for it, they're just gone. Intellectual property is also
hard to value, but filing more patents will generate value, particularly to those
who can afford to protect them from infringement. The real opportunity lies not in building asset base, but in building maximum
return on those assets and deployed capital. Assets don't generate worth by
themselves, they can only be used to generate worth. If the asset sits idle, it is
actually losing value, but if volume causes the asset to work to produce output
production, value is being created. The closer the relationship of assets to realize $1 for each $1 dollar on the balance
sheet the better. Cash and securities fit this description. Accounts receivable will
be discounted as they age, so focus on keeping the days outstanding as low as
possible. In addition, utilize percentage completion contracts when possible to
keep receivables low and cash flowing. Utilize just-in-time and consignment agreements to keep raw materials at the
lowest levels possible to minimize obsolescence. Produce in-process work
expediently to cover short-term needs. Build finished goods for firm orders or
reasonable short-term expectations of sale, and don't overproduce. If in a
seasonable business cover production levels over the off-season with contracts
for sale of goods just before the season, cover the risk with orders for goods. It
may be better to have less than market demand if projections were off, compared
to interest and carrying costs to hold artificial Christmas trees until next year. Customer lists, contacts, name recognition, trademarks, reputation, Web
distribution channels and Internet presence are often not considered in asset
valuation because they are not carried on the balance sheet. These assets,
however, are often worth considerable value in the market place. The reasoning
for this theory is that these assets can be turned into cash; therefore, should equal
the related value they could generate in return for their sale. These intangible
assets can produce future sales, profits, and cash. A real value in any company starts with its revenue stream ? the more you can
count on it occurring, the more value it has. The value becomes the net present
value of the after tax free cash flow stream of revenue under contract, plus repeat
customer base. Contract backlog is worth much more than revenue that you
must locate every year. The cost to re-create the sale each year is high in terms of
time and human energy. Locate customers where multiple year contract
environments can be set up. The government often awards contracts for
multiple-year periods. Many larger companies favor contract relationships with
vendors to reduce the overall cost of screening vendors again and again. While not as quantifiable as backlog, there is value in a customer base that's been
maintained for a long period of time. The longer customers remain with a
company, the more likely they will be loyal in the future. When customers stay
with an organization, this is an indication of the value, which they receive from
that organization. Conversely, customer turnover indicates their dissatisfaction
in the company's ability to provide services. For example, software companies
retain customers and repeat sales with product upgrades and gain new
customers with import utilities for easy conversion. Clearly growth in revenue volume is an indicator of valuation in a company that
investors are willing to pay for. If customers flock at above industry levels to a
company for the services that they provide, this is a good indication of the
company's ability to perform at above expected levels. A motivated sales force
with the ability to generate new revenues year after year has more value than a
company who has a poor selling reputation. A lack of growth indicates that the
company does not have an ability to increase its value over time. When a company has a great, and believable, prospectus for the future, the buyer
will often plan additional capital investment to fuel growth. If this case, the
buyer could be motivated to pay a higher valuation for the company and then
invest on top of it. Here is where the fun begins in all transactions. The going concern value (GCV)
and goodwill, or soft assets, will always draw the most controversy and
discussion in terms of their valuation. These elements are most prone to
differing interpretation by buyer and seller. Here to is where you can build the most value into a company. Transaction
value is only at a point in time. Buyers and investors look more to the
company's ability to create additional value to enhance returns on invested
capital as they hold their investment. Therefore, impart the elements that future
buyers look for: ?
Businesses That Create ValueIf You Build It ...
       
Value Creation Model Shows Buyers Your Company's WorthNet Asset Value
Future Revenue Stream
Going Concern Value
? High Probability of Future Cash Flows ? A history of positive cash flow at increasing levels is very important. True annuity buyers purchase cash flow not the business. Strategic buyers will value cash flow plus what could happen if additional capital is provided. After all, free cash flow determines the periodic return on investment and increases the potential for a much higher purchase price in the future.
? Management Team & Human Capital ? Attract and motivate a marketing oriented management team with the ability to produce recurring profits, return on capital, and free cash flow as an annuity for the owners. Develop an in-place; stable, well-trained workforce to implement operating processes on an ongoing basis. This is the most valuable off-balance sheet asset. When the owner of a privately held business has transitioned out and is collecting the net profit and cash without participating in an active management role, the value increases dramatically.
? The Ability to Sell, Compete, Distribute, Produce, Develop Products and Thrive ? This stand-alone entity track record demonstrates the viability of the market relationship between the products/services offered to meet customer demand and need, ability of the company to compete, and company reputation in the marketplace. The more unique a product is the more value it contributes to the deal. The company must be able to differentiate its products and services from the competition, even if this is based mainly on perception. Remember, products do have a life cycle and require improvements to remain in demand.
The directors' and management's role must be to build going concern value. The GCV can be best maximized with stable leadership, setting and following sound strategies to consistently bring products and services to market, all the while nurturing resources and implementing processes to manage the company. Here is where the greatest value resides.
Create reasons for a buyer to want to consider your company as an acquisition candidate. Buyers want a fair entry valuation so that they can expect a realistic return potential. There must be exit options so that the buyer who buys your business can realize high ROI at the time they resell.
The better the company is at creating stakeholder value and shareholder return, the more interest there will be in buying some or all of the stock. While investors often buy on hope and promise, the dotcom market sector collapse clearly indicates a need to ultimately produce returns to substantiate investment. Think for a moment, had many of the dotcom managers built GCV to support their promising technologies, they might still be around today. Those that have built GCV have strong balance sheets, can weather the storm, and will undoubtedly find opportunities to gobble up assets from those who didn't.
Build on any one element in the equation and you increase its individual value. Build up all elements in the equation and you realize an exponential creation of value to the right buyer. The buyer looking for a stand-alone entity to produce an annuity stream will place the highest value on the company when all components are strong and it operates with little owner intervention. Buyers looking only for parts of a business to augment their own, will want to invest less and only place value on some components, regardless of how strong they are. For example, if you build a strong senior management team, but the buyer wants to run the business, they will place no value in your senior manager(s) that will be replaced.
Remember, as in the movie, Field of Dreams: "If you build it, they will come."
John M. Collard is chairman of Annapolis, Maryland-based Strategic Management Partners, Inc., a nationally recognized turnaround management specializing in interim executive leadership and investing in underperforming companies. He is past chairman of the Turnaround Management Association, a Certified Turnaround Professional, and brings 35 years senior operating leadership, $85M asset recovery, 40-plus transactions worth $780M, and $80M fund management expertise to advise company boards, litigators, institutional and private equity investors. For more information about Strategic Management Partners, call (410) 263-9100 or log on at www.StrategicMgtPartners.com
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